We’re indoors in Linz, Austria for a WTA 500 event.
I mention indoors because those are the best conditions for overs and there’s a 1st set over I like. Petra Martic faces Katerina Siniakova in on of the last matches of the first round. That means both women have had a chance to practice and get comfortable with the courts.
Martic and Siniakova are historically good over plays since both can hold serve and have the ability to play more aggressively on return to break back when they need to do so.
The full match total is 21.5 games and the price for over is juiced more than the standard price but the 1st set over 9.5 games price sits at 2.05(+105) or better. I’ll happily bet that for given the players and the conditions.
It’s a small sample size, but 3 of the 4 sets Martic & Siniakova have played before have gone to 10+ games. Not only do I like over 9.5 games in the 1st set, I think we should put a small part of our unit on over 10.5 games as well. There’s a chance the lead server breaks early and holds to win the 1st set 6-3, but more often that not I think the we 6-4, 7-5, or even 7-6.
Suggested Bets:
0.75U Martic/Siniakova 1st Set Over 9.5 Games 2.05(+105) or better
0.25U Martic/Siniakova 1st Set Over 10.5 Games 3.75(+275) or better
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. These are my bets that I am making. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.