Barring an exceptionally high first serve percentage from Antoine Hoang, I am looking to American Marcos Giron to cover the game handicap here against the French qualifier.
I am not sure that tight wins over Go Soeda and beating Mikhail Kukushkin 7-6 7-5 after copping a bagel in set 1 is the best lead-in form here for Hoang. Outdoor hardcourt tennis isn’t a priority for Hoang, with this his first time back on the surface since losing in the second round of Australian Open qualifying in January. Outside of a solid first serve, I don’t see Hoang being a significant and consistent threat in longer rallies, and shouldn’t be a regular threat on the return of serve. This is another match where it looks as though the game handicap is 1 to 1.5 games too low, and worthy of a small play.
I see this match unfolding as a more one-sided version on Giron/Herbert from a week ago. Giron has looked solid of late, prefers the surface, and should benefit from the crowd at his back, and the conditions forecast in Flushing Meadows.
1.5 units Giron -5.5 games vs Hoang at $1.83 at Topsport
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