I will keep this one short, but I am happy to back up on Tamara Korpatsch again today.
When these two met during an exhibition in 2020 during the COVID tour suspension, Niemeier was $3.20 and lost to Korpatsch on the clay in straight sets. Whilst she has shown form on the grass, as well as reaching the WTA tour level semi final in Strasbourg last month, is she really justified in being $1.25 here?
I have made my thoughts around players being short based largely off big weeks the week before grand slam draws before, so I won’t go on and on in this instance. Whilst Korpatsch is able to find herself blown off the court if everything is clicking for an opponent (aka. if she loses 2-6 0-6, like she did when I backed her against Anisimova at Roland Garros last year I will still be able to sleep at night), her form and odds as a counterpuncher here look to be too high coming off a strong win over Minella in round 1.
I have Korpatsch closer to $2.60, so the $3.25+ that is available here is awfully tempting. I will back Korpatsch to win here at the moneyline for 1.5 units.
If you can get it, $3.75 is available at Bet365…
1.5 units Korpatsch to defeat Niemeier at $3.40 at Topsport
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