Whilst there is a slight question mark surrounding the fitness of Fiona Ferro, who we haven’t seen since retiring down a set to eventual champion Sorana Cirstea in Istanbul 5 weeks ago. Nevertheless, there still appears to be some nice value in the game handicap here, even with the question marks.
Fiona Ferro had notoriously struggled at Roland Garros until 2020, when she made a run to the second week with some solid tennis. She has shown over the last 18 months just how strong she is on the clay, winning the Palermo title in 2020, the Lausanne title in 2019 and reaching the 4th round in Paris last year. The conditions in June will suit her moreso than what we saw at Roland Garros last year as well, so the only question mark is how the abdominal injury is tracking.
En Shuo Liang received a huge gift in the first round of qualifying, with Caty McNally retiring with injury in their first set. Liang then managed to get the better of Muhammed and Dart as an underdog on both occasions, however on paper this is one of, if not the softest route to the main draw of any player, so I am not reading too much into things. What I will read into is the poor, albeit limited ITF level clay form for Liang, who I have had my eye on for years but haven’t been able to see her take her game to the next level. Against a dynamic clay player in Ferro, who has the ability to cover the court far better than Liang and has the experience edge over Liang, I don’t see this match being particularly close.
Given the injury concerns, I have adapted this play to a 1 unit selection on the total going under 18.5 at odds north of $2. Worth a play, even with the question marks.
1 unit Ferro/Liang total games under 18.5 at $2.08 at Unibet
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