Karolina Pliskova has finally reached the point in her form downswing where she finally pops up as being value at a WTA Premier tournament.
I have been quite critical of Coco Gauff in terms of her tennis on clay, as I don’t believe she has the movement on the surface to be able to mask her deficiencies in terms of power. Given this indoor court has the look and almost the feel of an indoor clay court at times, this looks to be the ideal set-up for Pliskova to have complete control of the destiny of this match.
Although she didn’t look overly convincing at times in Stuttgart, it is worth remembering that she was 5-3 up in the final set against eventual champion in Ash Barty – no mean feat given the form of the Australian this year. She looks to be eeking out form that resembles her best at times, however there is still a long way to go.
This match will almost entirely rest on the racquet of Pliskova. She is powerful enough off both wings to pin down Gauff, and cause the American to be on the defensive more often than not. The -1.5 game handicap here looks to be a reasonable spot to attack this match, as from what I have seen this year on other surfaces, as well as the little sample size we have for Gauff on clay, I just don’t see her current form matching up to Pliskova.
I will be taking the -1.5 game handicap here for 1.5 units.
1.5 units Pliskova -1.5 games vs Gauff at $1.81 at Unibet