Whilst the win from Adrian Andreev over Lloyd Harris looks good on paper, it needs to be acknowledged that the South African was suffering the effects of an injury from early in the second set. The match remained tight, so it begs the question: How much of a threat is Andreev to Alexei Popyrin off one of the biggest wins of his career?
I don’t see him being a significant threat. Whilst Andreev did a fantastic job of saving 10/10 break points faced in the final set, the fact Harris was able to remain so competitive is a bit of an issue in itself. Harris had led by a set and a break before the turnaround, and Andreev wasn’t able to muster winning even half of points on his serve in the first set. Whilst Popyrin can struggle to break serve against bigger, more power, I think Popyrin should be able to find his way into Andreev service games. He should enjoy having a little more time on the ball tonight as well, compared to his first round match against Eubanks.
The -4 game handicap isn’t widely available, and I am not a fan of getting involved in -4.5 game handicaps as who serves first can impact number of breaks required over the course of a match, so I will instead look to the total games going under. The total at 21.5 looks attackable, and I am happy to take the under for 2 units.
2 units Popyrin/Andreev total games under 21.5 at at $1.93 at Topsport