Had you asked me at the start of the week if I was thinking I would be playing David Goffin at a minus game handicap in the quarter final this week, I probably would have laughed. Alas, here we are.
Having an incredibly tight match first up in a week isn’t necessarily the worst thing to happen to a player, especially a player such as Goffin. After saving a handful of match points against Herbert, Goffin has looked much calmer and more settled on court from what I have observed. You can use the saying that Goffin is ‘playing with house money’ for the rest of the week after his great escape, however it is worth considering this given his impressive win in round 2 against Nicola Kuhn, winning 6-0 6-2. It was just what the doctor ordered for Goffin, who is going to provide a very different type of opposition to what Stefano Travaglia has faced this week to date.
Travaglia has now pulled off back-to-back upsets against Kecmanovic and Ruusuvuori on his way to the quarter finals. Whilst impressive, I have been disappointed moreso in the performances of his opposition. As mentioned above, today is a different look, as Travaglia is likely to find himself in far more rallies than he has through rounds one and two, and with Goffin appearing to be moving well and striking the ball confidently (where has this been?!), the -3.5 game handicap looks too good to pass up for a unit.
1 unit Goffin -3.5 games vs Travaglia at $1.85 (-118) at TabTouch (Pinnacle $1.85 as well)