Time: Approx 06:30pm AEDST
I think it is time for me to back in my comments regarding Marta Kostyuk earlier in the week and make a play at her at the game handicap today against Lucie Hradecka, known moreso for her doubles.
Kostyuk is one of the players on the WTA that I expect to take another decent climb up the rankings in 2021. After bursting onto the scene at the Australian Open as a 15 year old, she is now 18 at no longer needs to limit her scheduling across the year. This has meant the Ukrainian has had to focus on improving her conditioning and fitness overall, given she will be playing tennis at the top level far more frequently this year. She did put together a solid chunk of tennis at ITF level to finish 2020 however started to run out of gas in December. Here she faces Hradecka, who finds her way into a WTA main draw for singles for only the second time since 2017.
The 35 year old put together two decent performances in qualifying to reach the main draw, defeating Garcia and Zhao. As I mentioned earlier in the week, the divide between qualifying level quality and main draw quality is at its largest this week, with everyone in the middle trying to qualify for the Australian Open in a couple of days. I think this match will show how such little singles form over recent years is going to be a large issue now we are in the main draw.
Kostyuk’s numbers for 2020 overall do not jump off the page, but I am anticipating her later season improvements to carry into 2021 here. She is the better singles player by a long way, however as with everything else this week, I will be keeping the staking low. Personally, I prefer taking the games here instead of the total match games going under.
1 unit Kostyuk -5.5 games vs Hradecka at $1.82 / -122 at Topsport (and Pinnacle)
Good luck if following – gamble responsibly.
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