Not only do we get an opportunity to bet against an aging semi-finalist coming off a long week of action, we’ll be able to grab his opponent 30 cents higher than what he was in the pair’s previous meeting.
To lay it out for you, compatriots Ugo Humbert and Gael Monfils will play each other for the second time in two weeks at Dubai after Monfils cruised past the younger Frenchman at Doha.
That contest was Humbert’s second match on outdoor hard courts after a prolonged swing indoors, and he was comfortably less than his best in that meeting.
An extra couple of days off – paired with more suitable and faster conditions at Dubai – has me giving a substantial advantage to the lefty.
Monfils was brilliant in the aforementioned first clash, but I don’t fancy backing him week after week on the tour as his body doesn’t quite handle rigorous schedules like it used to.
Most of the feedback from players who have visited this tournament is about the pace of the deck and how different it is to Doha, and Humbert’s extra time to prepare – paired with a fitness advantage – has me grading him sub $1.50, making the $1.66 on offer substantial value.
Suggested Bet:
2 units Humbert to WIN @ $1.66, available everywhere.
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.