We are back in the odds range where I am comfortable getting involved by siding with Basilashvili.
Whilst Carlos Alcaraz is the deserved heavy favourite in this one, he looks a little short first up in the altitude. Whilst your more standard claycourt players are going to find life difficult against Alcaraz for the next decade and a bit, I do feel the aggressive, lower percentage style of Basilashvili will be an adjustment for Alcaraz today. We saw in Monte Carlo that playing first strike tennis can hold you in good stead against the teenager (see loss to Korda), and Basilashvili coming off a solid week and a half of tennis (compared to the rest of the year) looks worthy of a small play north of $6.
0.75 units Basilashvili to defeat Alcaraz at $7 at Unibet/Bet365
Thanks for reading and supporting free content, and good luck if following.
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). For the purposes of recording, 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.