Steve’s ATP US Open Preview: Tiafoe vs Pella

Posted on

The resurgence of Guido Pella has been nice to see of late. That won’t stop me from opposing him at the game handicap here though.

I think the scoreboard struggle of Frances Tiafoe in round 1 have opened up a bit of value on him at the game handicap. I was anticipating a handicap of 6.5 here, which is a number that I generally like to avoid. Let’s break it down quickly.

Tiafoe is going to enjoy having more time on the ball today after facing Eubanks in round 1. Eubanks plays with a big serve, and his ability to net rush and put pressure on his opposition. It took Tiafoe some time to get used to it in the conditions, however Pella is going to give him a far more consistent look today, in potentially perfect conditions under a roof. I have no issues with Tiafoe playing best of 5, and as mentioned in the outright preview I have him as a genuine threat to Andrey Rublev were they to meet.

Did Pella win, or did Filip Krajinovic lose? After a strong start, it was a significant fadeout from Krajinovic. Krajinovic looked below his best physically, and it showed in the outcome of sets 2-4. Pella was solid and hit a high first serve percentage, however the Krajinovic second serve combined with a high unforced error rate led to a one way traffic outcome after a competitive start.

Tiafoe is a significant step up in opposition in best of 5 set tennis, and I am not sure outside of being a leftie and a different look where the advantages lay for Pella here. I am not going to be drawn into that result over Krajinovic, and will stick with Tiafoe here at the -5.5 games for 2 units.

Suggested Bet

2 units Tiafoe -5.5 games vs Pella at $1.96 at Topsport ($2.08 at Unibet for those interested)

View other articles on site by clicking here.

2 ways to support Ace Previews Pty Ltd:

  1. Buy Steve a Coffee

2. Sign up to PUBLC for free:

PUBLC_Logo_Black_Large copy.png


It is free and will support the ongoing work of Ace Previews

You will notice the preview takes you to a page via a new search engine called PUBLC, who have approached us regarding uploading my content to their search engine. The more people that sign up to a free account and continue to read our work, the more accessible we will be able to make our content moving forward.

Creating an account takes 30 seconds, however it will allow your support of our work to be ongoing. Please ensure you are signed in when clicking through to my articles. Your support is greatly appreciated.

For more information on PUBLC, click here.

Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss. If you are looking to support the work of this site, please sign up to PUBLC and view our previews via your free account.