Just like the last couple of times I have backed Jason Kubler at Challenger level, he looks to be a solid price today against Russian Andrey Kuznetsov.
Whilst he has done a terrific job of making his way through to the final, the difference between the best tennis and worst tennis from Kuznetsov has been clear to see across the course of the week. He got a little lucky with a couple of errors in the first set tiebreak against Jay Clarke, and also found himself a couple of games from defeat in the semi final against Pavel Kotov, who was serving at *4-3 in the decider. The erratic style of play from Kuznetsov is part of the appeal when he comes up as a big underdog against some of the bigger names in tennis, however against a consistent player who is rounding into better form in Jason Kubler doesn’t seem as appealing.
Outside of his 0-6 first set against Tseng, it has been a very solid week of tennis for Kubler. Whilst he did drop serve 5 times in that back-and-forth match with Tseng, he has only dropped his serve once through the other three matches, showing an improved consistency in his level – something that has been missing from his game since his most recent injury struggles.
I have Kubler a clear favourite here, although I am wary of the wild fluctuations in the game of Kuznetsov. I will back the Australian here, but just for 1 unit.
1 unit Kubler to defeat Kuznetsov at $1.88 at Topsport