Recap:
The red recaps aren’t easy, especially when they are frequent, yet here we are.
After Sousa lost to Rinderknech, I went to sleep with RCB up a break on Cerundolo and Potapova up a set and a break on Pavlyuchenkova. Come the morning, Flashscore had Potapova winning in straight and I saw RCB was in the main draw. Fast forward 30 seconds and it became apparent Flashscore was wrong and RCB ended up in the main draw as a lucky loser.
When it rains, sometimes it pours, but I have been here before and know what it is all about.
Here is the first preview for today/tonight from Belgrade.
Carballes Baena vs Kwon
It does sting a little to see the player that you backed at a good price in the final round of qualifying backing up the next day as a lucky loser, this time as a heavy favourite. We have that today with RCB back on court facing Kwon, who recently put together a solid week of tennis on the clay in Marbella just over a week ago. The question is: is it as good as it looks on paper?
I have an asterix next to the Kwon/Bagnis result, as that was a genuine horror performance from Bagnis, more than it was a scintillating performance from Kwon. RCB has shown over the last week and a bit the conditions are suited to him here, with the cool, cloudy conditions likely to turn this into a grind, as we have seen over the 9 days.
Although he lost yesterday, the match was incredibly close for a 2 set match. With a Challenger title and over a week under his belt on the courts, look for RCB to win and cover here.
You can get -2.5 games at Pinnacle for a decent price (and I love that number), however I will settle for the more widely available -3.5 games.
Suggested Bet
1.5 units RCB -3.5 games vs Kwon at $2.04 at Unibet ($2.13 at Pinnacle)