I am happy to side with the more consistent of the two here in Taylor Fritz. Although Jeremy Chardy has been winning of late, his performances haven’t been convincing enough for me to think that anything significant has changed overall.
Whilst I wouldn’t be getting involved at -3 games or -3.5 games, I do feel there is enough in the -2.5 game handicap at the current prices for 1 unit. I have similar thoughts regarding Fritz than I do with Karolina Muchova in the WTA. I don’t think his end of 2020 form was an accurate reflection of his level, and I think this leads to value on him coming out the other side here in 2021. He did what he needed to do in his first match with Coria, winning comfortably.
Chardy did look decent in Antalya, however this week has looked a little hit-and-miss. It is hard to gauge how a 3rd set tiebreak win over Marin Cilic stacks up given the Croatian’s form of late, however he was able to handle Gilles Simon 6-3 6-4 in the second round. Having been present at part of that match, I was a little disappointed in the lack of energy or interest from Simon at times, and ultimately it showed on the scoreboard. Perhaps there has been a slight overreaction to this win?
-2.5 games allows 1 x tiebreak set and 1 x set with a break, regardless of who serves first, as one of the options that allows the game handicap to be covered. Keeping it small again, however I think this handicap at this price is worth a unit.
1 unit Fritz -2.5 games vs Chardy at $1.92 (-109) at Unibet