Whilst the run from Nadia Podoroska to end 2020 on clay was indeed impressive, I do wonder if there is a little overreaction to that form and its ability to transfer over to hardcourt in the same fashion.
Whilst I am incredibly tempted to take Minnen to win this match outright, the +3.5 game handicap at $2 is too hard to pass up. Minnen has come off an impressive run in AO qualifying, then backed it up with a round 1 win against Olga Danilovic 6-4 6-4 as a slight underdog. She looked rock solid on serve, and the consistency was key, with Danilovic too erratic in key moments.
Whilst Fran Jones was a little overwhelmed by Podoroska in round 1, Minnen is more experienced at this level. Whilst Minnen hasn’t been successful a great deal at WTA level, the experience of qualifying for multiple tournaments over the last 12-18 months has allowed her to set more of a base than Jones. Podoroska holds a 0-7 record against Top 70 players on hardcourt, and is 14-16 overall against the Top 150. Whilst I am optimistic about her overall outlook and prospects this year, the current handicap of 3.5 games looks a little steep off recent hardcourt form.
Happy to play this one for 1 unit at $2.00.
1 unit Minnen +3.5 games vs Podoroska at $2.00 (+100) at Unibet