Struff vs Goffin (Approx 01:00am AEST)
He looked to slowly get a grasp for the conditions in the previous round against Borna Coric, and I feel as though Goffin covering the -1.5 game handicap against Struff today is solid value.
Alex De Minaur was below 100% on his return to the court earlier in the week, and Jan-Lennard Struff took full advantage. That effort from Struff, which looks to have been overrated a touch, coupled with Struff beating a poor returner of serve in Shapovalov, leads to Goffin being value at the game handicap today.
Whilst Goffin struggled moreso on the second serve of Coric, it was a great sign to see him able to win 45% of points on returning the first serve of Coric. After a tight first set, Goffin took control in set 2, winning 7-6 6-4 in 1hr49. He has solid court coverage, and I am comfortable backing him on the faster hardcourt. He is solid off both wings, which is necessary against Struff given his comfort level coming into the net as well.
I am happy to make a 1 unit selection on Goffin at the -1.5 game handicap. He has a strong head to head advantage on hardcourt over the last couple of years against Struff, he looked fit in his win over Coric, and he is a significant upgrade in terms of return of serve for Struff today. Goffin should progress if he is able to continue to build his form.
1 unit Goffin -1.5 games vs Struff at $1.80 at Topsport
PLEASE SUPPORT ACE PREVIEWS
A quick note from Steve, Founder of Ace Previews:
I am currently in the process of looking into ways to ensure my content can remain free moving forward. My content is now being shared on PUBLC, a new search engine. By signing up to PUBLC, and clicking on my articles, I will be able to stay free for longer, or perhaps ongoing.
Creating an account takes 30 seconds, however it will allow your support of my work to be ongoing. CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP. Please ensure you are signed in when clicking through to my articles. Your support is greatly appreciated.
For more information on PUBLC, click here.