Ace’s Outright Observations – February 24

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With a number of big tournaments taking place around the world (sorry, flat earthers), Steve has taken a look at each tournament and found some value in the outright markets.

ATP Dubai

Steve has written a preview for Dubai for The Hub at Betfair, including some value trading selections. Take a look here.

WTA Acapulco

Ace Previews is thrilled to have @_Noops delivering a comprehensive preview and suggestions for the women’s even in Acapulco – you can find is preview here.

ATP Santiago

  • Cristian Garin is the beneficiary of the first round bye as the top seed at his home tournament, however did mention he was struggling physically after the final in Rio De Janeiro.
  • Who could take advantage in the top quarter if Garin isn’t 100%? One player to keep an eye on is Juan Ignacio Londero.
  • Whilst the draw is stacked with quality claycourters, the key name in the bottom half of the draw is Casper Ruud. Won 2 weeks ago, struggled to back up last week, and with a couple of days off should be fresh and ready to attack again in Santiago.
  • Can Thiago Monteiro keep up his good recent form? Tough early rounds will make it difficult for the Brazilian.
  • An unseeded player to watch for mine is Jaume Munar, however I would like to see him play Carballes-Baena before jumping in.
  • Lovely to see Martin Klizan back at ATP level. Tough first round match, however he was solid through two (anticipated) straight set wins in qualifying.

If I had to pick someone to win? Casper Ruud

ATP Acapulco

  • Although he is the defending champion, it is hard to see Kyrgios defending his title off an extended layoff.
  • After his abdominal injury in the ATP Cup against Rafael Nadal, the last player Alex De Minaur would have wanted to see as a potential round 2 opponent was the Spaniard. Given fitness and timing is crucial to his game, it is tough to see the Australian heading straight back to the winners’ circle after an extended injury layoff, although I would like to be proven wrong!
  • One to watch this week is Stan Wawrinka – drawn very well and on early 2020 form should be in Acapulco come the weekend at worst. Dimitrov the biggest threat in the second quarter. This could be a big week for Stan.
  • Another who could continue his solid start to the year is Alexander Zverev. The German has drawn Jason Jung in round 1, and being in the 4th quarter allows the likes of Kyrgios/Humbert/FAA/Millman/Edmund/Fritz battle out for a potential semi-final meeting with Zverev.
  • How has Mischa Zverev landed a wildcard in this tournament? He faces John Isner in round 1.

If I had to pick someone to win? Alexander Zverev 

WTA Doha

  • Courts appear to be slow – proceed with caution.
  • Massive draw, however with question marks over the fitness of Ash Barty, Elena Rybakina having played a LOT of tennis and the withdrawal of Simona Halep, things have really opened up for the tournament.
  • Sabalenka does seem to be turning a corner, and now she is back with Tursunov as her coach. The beneficiary of Halep’s withdrawal as she has adopted the second seed’s draw, she is one to watch this week.
  • Defending champion Elise Mertens started her campaign strongly, and will be tough to beat in conditions that suit her style incredibly well.
  • In the top half, you could even make a case for Jelena Ostapenko to make a run at a big price. She doesn’t have Marion Bartoli with her this week, however she did a great job in key moments late in her round 1 win over Teichmann.
  • From a personal standpoint, I am curious to see how Sofia Kenin backs up this week. She will remain the hunted thanks to her AO victory, and her draw looks tough.
  • Another to watch at big odds in the top half is Dayana Yastremska. Has the power to hit through the slower hardcourts and could cause an upset or two.

If I had to pick someone to win? Aryna Sabalenka

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