If I thought Kwon was value to beat Carreno Busta at $4.30 yesterday (with the Spaniard largely unimpressive), and I did, then I cannot let Koepfer go around at $4 against PCB today.
If you want a little more information on this one, check the preview from Kwon/PCB yesterday. A little too much may be read into their two recent meetings. Koepfer had a set point in the first set and earned break points in multiple return games in Tokyo when these two met, and in Cincinnati the 6-4 6-2 PCB scoreline looks one-sided, however both players earned break points in three return games, with PCB going 3/4 and Koepfer 0/7.
This price looks too big, and that is before you consider it the week before a grand slam. That only strengthens things, and I am happy to make a 2 unit selection here on the moneyline, and 0.5 units on the 2-0 betting.
Selection:
2 units Koepfer to defeat PCB at $4.00 at Topsport
0.5 units Koepfer 2-0 set betting vs PCB at $7 at Topsport
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