I’m feeling pretty good about an acclimatized and in-form Alex Michelsen ahead of his second round Los Cabos match with Alex De Minaur.
Obviously, De Minaur is the superior player – as we’re seeing with the odds discrepancy, but I’m not sure it’s to the tune of +4.0 games in the handicap.
Although these conditions are slow, the high bounce of the ball has serviced big hitters like Michelsen well in the past as previous winners such as Sam Querrey have had success, here.
If you’re tall and not so agile, a high-bouncing ball can fall right in your strike zone. So, even though he won’t have the pace off the ground to hit through the Australian, he will have time to generate more power, of which he has plenty.
The American’s last three losses have come against Tommy Paul, Frances Tiafoe, and Alexander Zverev.
He will catch De Minaur in his first game in North American after the Aussie reached the final at Rotterdam after playing the UTS competition at Oslo.
Michelsen is a very well-rounded player and while he has a strong serve, is a sneaky good defender with solid IQ.
The very best version of De Minaur would admittedly be too strong, but I’m betting against us getting that and think the underdog can catch him napping.
Suggested Bet:
1 unit Michelsen +4.0 @ $1.86 with BetKings
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.