Both Liudmila Samsonova and Amanda Anisimova are very talented tennis players, however, today’s match between the two is destined to become ugly. Anisimova is coming off a mental-health related hiatus, so with her starting to play tournaments again, I hope she found some joy in hitting the yellow ball again. After such a long time away from the tour, she doesn’t do that as well as in her prime – don’t forget she’s still only 22 years of age – but the American can still be dangerous in particular matches, as she has shown on January 1st in Adelaide when she beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in straight sets. The Russian played really well the week after, so that win isn’t one to ignore. Even though Anisimova’s stamina is still far from being restored (she lost her next match 0-6, 1-6 to Marie Bouzkova), she now had more than 10 days to recover again and focus on the Australian Open.
It’s not that I’m out here desperately wanting to back Anisimova though. It’s the potential Samsonova fade that has attracted me. The Russian has had a mediocre start to the season her own, getting blown off the court by Mirra Andreeva in Brisbane and handing the match away against Laura Siegemund in Adelaide. Samsonova can be super streaky as she’s playing with such low margin. If she’s in form, she can blast everyone off the court with her heavy shots. The problem is, she doesn’t seem to be in great form. Again, this match should be shaped by unforced errors and I’m happy to take the underdog in this kind of situation as well as some overs as both could get streaky, allowing the opponent to win a few games in a row.
Suggested Bets:
0.5u on Over 10.5 1st set at 4.19 (+319) with Pinnacle
0.5u on Over 2.5 sets at 2.67 (+167) with Pinnacle
0.75u on Amanda Anisimova ML at 3.11 (+211) with Pinnacle
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. These are my bets that I am making. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.