1 unit De Minaur +3 games vs Berrettini at $1.93 at Topsport
0.5 units De Minaur to defeat Berrettini at $2.83 at Topsport
Over 18s Only (21+ in some jurisdictions). 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. These are my bets that I am making. Please enjoy your betting responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and do not chase a loss.
Preview: We last saw Matteo Berrettini making an emotional departure from the ATP Finals, having succumbed to injury in front of his home crowd. We last saw Berrettini in Australia playing injured at the Australian Open (and defeating Karen Khachanov). Off a shortened, and interrupted off-season, he looks a touch short here against Australian Alex De Minaur.
The form of De Minaur across the majority of 2021 was disappointing, however I would anticipate a return to Australian conditions on a slow hardcourt should suit him well. Normally I am not overly interested in getting into De Minaur at underdog prices against the top players who have the ability to overpower him, however Berrettini’s slight weakness on the backhand wing and De Minaur’s counterpunching ability make for a combination that presents as value on the Australian here.
Happy to split 1.5 units worth of staking across the ML and game handicap. If Berrettini puts in a top serving performance, I am happy to accept a loss here, however De Minaur has the smarts to put in an intelligent tactical display. Just a shame about the crowds in Sydney so far!