Vinny’s WTA US Open Qualifying Preview: Bolsova vs Duval

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Back into the swing of things and it’s been a while since my last article, betting Bencic at the Olympics. Actually, the woman I’m backing today has been off the courts for even longer. So while I hope we’re not too rusty, I do like the matchup for Aliona Bolsova against Victoria Duval.

Bolsova is the Carreño Busta of women’s tennis in terms of being a Spaniard labelled as a clay courter while being capable on hard courts as well. In fact, she’s on a pretty bad run as she’s 5-9 since entering the clay court swing this year. Arguably her best performance during that stretch? Taking a set off her red-hot countrywoman Paula Badosa at Wimbledon. Unlike other Spanish players, I actually think Bolsova is glad to be back on the faster courts.

Against a player with no big serve or weapons in Duval, Bolsova should be on the attack constantly. Bolsova’s career high ranking is #88 while Duval’s is #87 and that’s about the only stat I could find that warrants the current odds in this match. Unfortunately, the American is just a shell of her former self after all the health issues (knee surgery, beating cancer) she’s been through. She’s struggling to make it into main draws at any level these days and recently lost to Tatjana Maria who just came back on tour after having her second baby.

So while Bolsova has been a consistent member of the top 200 for more than three years now, Duval currently sits at #457 and only got here thanks to a Wild Card. Maybe I’m missing out on something here, but even Bolsova’s traveling between tournaments isn’t something uncommon for the Spaniard. To me, the fair line on the Bolsova is right around 1.50, so I’m taking her at the current prices and hope she’ll be refreshed and ready to go at the final major of the year.

Suggested Bet:

1u on Aliona Bolsova at 1.73 with Unibet

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