If you read my preview when backed Jennifer Brady -6.5 games against Madison Brengle in the Australian Open, this play falls along the same lines with an extra game in hand.
The majority of the points on both serve and return are going to be on the racquet of Swiatek, who has looked solid over the Melbourne period with losses only to Ekaterina Alexandrova and Simona Halep. An underestimated aspect of Swiatek’s game is her ability to defend, and to have strengths in both the serve and return is crucial when looking into bigger game handicaps in the WTA.
This is a significant step up in opposition for Brengle, who has put her best performance in Australia against a rusty Bianca Andreescu. The form just doesn’t quite add up here when looking at the markets, as I was anticipating this market to sit at the -6.5 game handicap. Given it is the week after a grand slam I will keep the staking low here, however this looks to be worth a unit.
1 units Swiatek -5.5 games vs Brengle at $1.91 (-110) at Topsport