I won’t be making too many selections this week in the Grampians Trophy, given it is full of the players who had to go through the harder quarantine on their arrival. This does stand out from a pure price standpoint though.
The break over the off-season is just what Angelique Kerber needed, after struggling to gain any form of continuity across the entirety of the 2020 season. I do wonder looking at these hardcourt odds today whether a little too much has been read into the Kerber loss to Siniakova on clay late last year. Kerber has started to observe a regression in her clay performances at her age, however I am not anticipating it to occur at the same rate on hardcourt. It is worth noting that Kerber’s Australian summer in 2020 was complicated by a hamstring injury in Adelaide, so I wouldn’t read too much into her early Aus Open exit last year.
Whilst Siniakova did make great strides over the exhibition period in the Czech Republic as well as making the Dubai final in December, I don’t think there have been enough gains to have her below $2.10 in this one. Kerber should limit the errors and in familiar, comfortable conditions be too good and too consistent for Siniakova. The key advantage for the Czech is she was able to play doubles yesterday, however with that taken into consideration I still think there is value in Kerber’s price for 1 unit.
1 unit Kerber to defeat Siniakova at $1.83 at Unibet