Brady vs Tauson (Approx 07:00pm AEST)
We have seen just how advantageous having three qualifying matches under your belt has been for a number of players through the first couple of days of the tournament. I see that continuing today with one of the best performers in qualifying capable of causing a big upset in Round 1 at Roland Garros.
Coming off her semi final appearance at the US Open, we are unlikely to see a lot of value on Jennifer Brady in the short term. Her name now stands out to a lot of people who haven’t watched a lot of tennis, without too much thought being considered for the change of conditions faced today. Even her recent ‘clay’ form looks good, however her exhibition wins on the green clay in North America aren’t overly translatable to the conditions in Paris currently.
Clay has never been a happy hunting ground for Brady, with European clay form lacking over the last couple of years. Granted her overall form and fitness has improved significantly in 2020, I won’t be aggressively opposing her in this situation. I do feel however, a + game handicap/head to head play on Clara Tauson is warranted here on form.
Tauson was exceptional in qualifying, dropping one set through three rounds against Talaba, Cocciaretto and Jorovic on her way to the main draw. This followed on well from her ITF title in August at Oeiras, and a fourth round appearance at the Prague Challenger, where she lost to the eventual champion. I would argue the win over Cocciaretto, which involved 26 winners and 13 unforced errors whilst only dropping serve once, was one of the best performances across the entirety of qualifying. She has looked comfortable in the surface and looks to be trusting her movement in the tricky conditions.
Grand slam experience will play a role here, and that obviously favours Brady. As I said before though, she is far too short given her past clay form. Happy to place 1 unit on the game handicap and 0.5 units on the head to head for Tauson in what is another small play for Day 3.
1 unit Tauson +4.5 games vs Brady at $1.83 at Bet365
0.5 units Tauson to win at $3.50 at Bet365
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