I cannot wait for this match.
Whilst his brother Mikael has shot past him in terms of form and ranking over the last 12 months, I was incredibly keen to see how Elias Ymer developed his game in 2020. Unfortunately for the Swede, injury hit in the days before his first match on court in Melbourne. Whilst he did return to the tour in March for a couple of matches, I do feel as though the time off, combined with some of the exhibition tennis to slowly transition back to the tour, has worked well for Ymer.
Ymer has looked solid through his first two rounds here, and I am intrigued by his odds today. I wrote the other day about the Machac/Ivashka match and how I wasn’t high in Ivashka on the clay, and his inability to find his serve in that match only compounded his issues. The win from Machac was great, don’t get me wrong, however bookmakers have overreacted to have him favourite here against Ymer, a totally different style of player.
Ymer’s court coverage will lead to extended rallies today, a far different match to Machac’s previous opponents in Stakhovsky and Ivashka. I do have a preference in supporting Machac against bigger strikers with poorer court coverage skills at this stage of his career, and I feel Ymer is going to be a huge test today. At the current odds, I am happy to make a smaller play on Ymer to win as a slight underdog.
I think we will learn a bit about both players today.
1 unit Ymer to defeat Machac at $2.10 at Bet365